Here's some technologies that will impact us in the future that I am keeping my eye on. Some of these are around today but just haven’t hit prime time, others are in the works.
- Internet 3.0 The web will transform into a personal agent that basically tells us what we want to to know and when we want to know it. Important enabling technologies will be wireless technology, sensors, location and semantic technologies.
- Enterprise Social Networks: We are already seeing the impact of social networks on our personal lives, but they are just starting to make inroads into enterprises. Social networking technology will have profound impacts on management systems within enterprises. Corporations will turn to new innovative business models based off of crowdsourcing, social network analysis, prediction markets and user ratings.
- Virtual Worlds: There is no doubt that virtual worlds need to get easier before they become more mainstream. It has to be integrated with social software platforms and instant messaging. Ease of use, visible presence, unified communications and personalization will make virtual worlds a reality.
- Nanotechnology....Already having an impact in a number of industries, nanotechnology will enable unprecedented levels of control with incredibly small parts...having all sorts of implications for future materials, hardware components, and devices.
- User Interfaces: We are so used to using the mouse and the keyboard as an input device. I think we are in the early stages of totally new ways to interact with our electronic devices. The short term focus will be on touch technologies. After that, I expect advancements in gesture computing and speech technology. Regarding display technology, I'll be looking for new displays that will offer 3D, be flexible and project over large areas.
- 3D printers: 3D printers will provide a way for businesses to rapidly prototype potential products. The technique involves "printing" three-dimensional objects with plaster or resin. Some are even predicting a mass market for 3D printers for consumers.
- Robots: Robots will increasingly make their way into the business and consumer markets. The Roomba vacuum robot we have in our house does a great job. Expect robots to be increasingly used for applications like military operations, lifting and rescue operations, security, healthcare delivery, human companionship and other mundane chores.
- Mobile Applications & Services. There can be no question that mobile devices are important to the future of business. The gold rush is on to develop enterprise-based mobile applications, services and cloud infrastructures, both public and private. I expect a flood of new application services designed specifically for the business mobile user, including those incorporating location awareness, video, and social technologies. In the future, your mobile device will contain your profile information and will mediate relationships across social networks, commercial transactions, security clearances, and any device with embedded intelligence.
- Human augmentation: Technology is increasingly playing an important part in healthcare. My eyesight is just great thanks to that Lasik surgery I had 9 years ago. On the horizon are advancements in implants, brain interfaces, genetic selection and nerve to prosthesis applications. If you saw the movie IronMan last year, you have an idea of where all this is heading.
- Telepresence/Video Conferencing. Telepresence and 3D video conferencing capability will eventually be common for enterprises, having a huge impact on corporate travel, workforce collaboration and productivity. It will allow enterprises to form closer relationships with clients, partners, and clients.
- Quantum Computing....Perhaps a little further out than a 15 year planning horizon, quantum computing will allow computers to perform calculations in seconds versus the hours it takes today.
- Embedded Intelligence...Embedded intelligence will enable an increasing amount of communication with mobile devices, appliances, store shelves, vehicles, bridges, buildings, people, animals, and even plants. Embedded technologies and solutions will allow enterprises to create a true sense and respond framework. By extracting useful events and insights from this data, organizations can quickly respond to new opportunities and / or threats.
- Cloud Computing... The rise of data-intensive applications, virtualization, and mobile and networking technologies is driving adoption of cloud computing. As sensors proliferate and the world becomes 'smarter', more computing power will be needed to keep up with all the transactions.
- Cleantech... There is a growing focus on products and services that improve the efficiency of assets while reducing energy usage, waste, or pollution. There are a number of emerging technologies in this area, including water management, solar energy, wind energy, biofuel green buildings, green IT, intelligent transportation systems, smart grid, and fuel cells.
There's more than just fourteen on my radar list, but these come to front of mind right now.
Thats a great list, I think we share the same vision.
Many of these blend well together, a virtual world in the cloud that outputs to a 3d printer for instance.
Posted by: epredator | February 26, 2009 at 02:40 AM
There will always be lingering questions that hovers in the minds of decision makers and stakeholders. How proven are these technologies? How will it help our organization? Why should we even bother investing on these technologies? There's no question in my mind, that these technologies can certainly offer wide-array of operational and business benefit to Federal and Commercial operations. It's daunting just thinking and reading about what single technology can do and how it could potentially benefit a process, project, organization and company as a whole. If I was a CTO, I would love to have control of some visual or a dashboard that will give me some understanding of the technologies by seeing the following:
* When the technology was introduced
* Where it was introduced
* How is this technology applicable to the organization (Federal, Commercial) and more specific to certain business sectors.
* What is currently being worked on to its fruition and who's currently using it? And what are the benefits that can be introduced by using this technology? Just my two cents.
Posted by: Keith | February 27, 2009 at 07:47 AM
Keith...wonderful idea to have a dashboard on emerging technologies.
Posted by: Bill Chamberlin | March 04, 2009 at 03:13 PM
I think your trends pretty much cover the future. Well done.
Two remarks:
I-never look at just 1 trend at a time, but look at the multitude and convergence of trends;
II-in order to retrieve the full impact of all these trends, the technology sector needs to develop a global personal dashboard. A dashboard is 1 screen, a global and personal information-, communication-, transaction- and privacy-control centre, that embeds all information you need to a) run your life or b) run your business. See more at:
http://www.futurecheck.nl/Futurecheck_Knowledgeletter_2006_Personal_Dashboard_2020__sub_310_2_20060507310.html
Who wil create this dahboard? It is such an obvious missing link in the evolution of the earth (and besides, extremely profitable).
Kindly,
Marcel Bullinga, Dutch Futurist & Speaker
www.futurecheck.nl
[email protected]
Posted by: Marcel Bullinga, Futurist & Speaker | March 06, 2009 at 07:45 AM