Last week I attended the IDC Top Ten Predictions Conference Call. It was hosted and delivered by Frank Gens, IDC Chief Analyst. I do look forward to this call every year with anticipation and this year was one of the best calls I can remember from IDC. The predictions were well thought out and Frank, as always, did a fantastic job of covering the trends in the time allotted. Of course, there is a team of IDC analysts behind Frank that provided input into the trends and predictions.
Here are IDC’s Top Ten Predictions
- Growth will return to the IT industry in 2010. IDC is predicting a 3.2% growth for the year, returning the industry to 2008 spending levels of about $1.5 trillion.
- Telecommunications to improve. IDC says we should expect improved growth and stability in the worldwide telecommunications market, with worldwide spending predicted to increase 3%.
- Emerging markets will lead the IT recovery. BRIC countries will grow 8–13%.
- Cloud computing. IDC says that there will be a strategic battle for cloud platform leadership, new public cloud hot spots, private cloud offerings, cloud appliances, and offerings that bridge public and private clouds.
- Mobile Apps. IDC predicts 2010 will be a watershed year in the ascension of mobile devices as strategic platforms for commercial and enterprise developers as over 1 billion access the Internet, iPhone apps triple, Android apps quintuple, and Apple's "iPad" arrives.
- Public networks IDC predicts an aggressive evolution to fiber and 3G and 4G wireless. 4G will be overhyped, more wireless networks will become "invisible," and the FCC will regulate over-the-top VoIP.
- Socializing Business applications IDC says business applications will be ‘fused’ with social/collaboration software and analytics into a new generation of "socialytic" apps, challenging current market leaders.
- Sustainability. Rising energy costs and pressure from the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference will make sustainability a source of renewed opportunity for the IT industry in 2010.
- Transformation Agenda. IT will be an increasingly important lever for transformation initiatives. Smart meters and electronic medical records will hit important adoption levels.
- M&A. IDC predicts a frenzy of M&A activity in the IT industry.
Here’s a video of Frank Gens delivering the top ten predictions on a YouTube Video
The conference call signals the real start of the predictions and trends list season for me. IDC follows up this conference call with a number of calls in January and February, which I look forward to as well.
For those interested, you can access the replay of the IDC predictions conference call and presentation slides at the following URL:
http://w.on24.com/r.htm?e=178835&s=1&k=71B94A8BF46833DCC88477EE828281B7 Also, for a Q&A discussion regarding the predictions, you can visit the IDC eXchange blog at http://blogs.idc.com/ie/ The video shown above is at this URL http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-yAmGdemHI
Finally, I suggest you follow IDC through the predictions season, so go check out http://www.idc.com/research/predictions1